Mendelssohn was an 18½-length victor of the UAE Derby.
I arrived at these five horses based on what I considered to be the best Derby prep races.
The Kentucky Derby is the 12 of 14 races scheduled at Churchill Downs on Saturday. Coming from last almost every race, as he did in February winning the Southwest Stakes before making a very wide (10 paths) move in the Louisiana Derby and settling for third. Along with Magnum Moon, Vino Rosso and Noble Indy were double-digit longshots for the trainer, who is tied with mentor D. Wayne Lukas for the most Derby starters with 48. Having put in a very impressive half-mile morning workout recently at Churchill Downs, it is obvious Vino Rosso has a liking for the track and may take another step forward and into the record books, also giving trainer Todd Pletcher his third Derby victory and second in a row after saddling Always Dreaming to win past year.
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Why he can win: Magnum Moon is also undefeated in his young career and has shown an ability to win while running different races, taking first both from the pack and leading wire-to-wire, including a win by four lengths at his most recent start in the Arkansas Derby.
"He's a high-quality horse who has got better with every start", Mendelssohn's jockey Moore told the Irish Times after their Dubai win. "Winning this race isn't easy". Adults who watched the Kentucky Derby a year ago were more likely to make a trip to a casino, put money in a slot machine or play table games like blackjack, craps, poker and roulette. He's a major player. Depending on how hot the early pace is will determine if he has his nose in front at the wire. Also, if you're looking at trends to follow, the favorite has now won five straight Kentucky Derbys - that's a pretty good run for a 20-horse race. Since NBC is a broadcast network, you should be able to watch the Kentucky Derby live, for free, as long as you have one of these antennas plugged into your television. Two races later, he won the Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs.
My last top contender is Enticed, trained by Kiaran McLaughlin. Bolt d'Oro finished second to Justify in the Santa Anita Derby. None of the others has won a Derby. Despite being Baffert trained and victor of the best prep in California, I don't like any of the California horses in this Derby. Post time is 6:46 p.m.